Predictive Models

This section provides powerful statistical models for predicting the outcomes of football (soccer) matches.

Each model can generate accurate probability estimates across various betting markets, including match results, total goals, Asian handicaps, and over/under goals.

For users interested in understanding the underlying theory of these models, links to detailed explanations and foundational research papers are provided via the the pena.lt/y/blog website.

Examples:

• Poisson
• Bivariate Poisson Model
• Zero-inflated Poisson
• Dixon and Coles
• Negative Binomial Model
• Bivariate Weibull Count Plus Copula Model
• Applying Weighting to the Goals Models
• Create the Weights
• Goal Expectancy